currency outlook

The rupee opened lower against the dollar, influenced by a stronger greenback, rising crude oil prices, and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This decline followed a strong gain on Friday, as investors remained cautious ahead of key US economic data and potential Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.

Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves are nearing the $18 billion target, yet a widening trade deficit and upcoming debt payments raise economic stability concerns. Analysts warn the reserve build-up masks deeper vulnerabilities, with the rupee facing depreciation pressure. A soaring trade gap and potential decline in remittances could challenge the nation's financial outlook.

Fitch Ratings has lowered India's FY27 GDP forecast to 6.4% due to rising costs from Middle East conflict impacting consumer spending. While domestic demand remains a driver, higher prices are expected to reduce purchasing power, with the most visible impact in Q2 and Q3 of FY27.

Gold price prediction today: While gold and silver prices are seeing some weakness, in the domestic market gold has managed to exhibit some resilience, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

The rupee weakened by 40 paise to 95.76 against the US dollar due to proposed US tariffs, rising crude oil prices, and foreign fund outflows. Escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia also contributed to the decline, impacting investor sentiment. Market participants now await the Reserve Bank of India's policy decision for further cues.

India is projected to overtake China in global GDP share by 2060, as China's economic contribution is expected to stabilize and decline. This shift is driven by China's rapidly falling population share, contrasting with India's trajectory. The report also notes significant inequality differences between the two Asian giants.

Dalal Street anticipates a busy week driven by the RBI's interest rate decision, key economic data, and global developments like the US-Iran situation and crude oil prices. Investors will closely track manufacturing and services PMI, GDP growth, and foreign exchange reserves for market direction.

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices continue to be under pressure as crude oil prices remain high, says Praveen Singh, Head Currencies and Commodities, Mirae Asset ShareKhan.

Both the Sensex and Nifty declined more than 1% as investor sentiment weakened amid growing concerns over the Iran-US conflict, continued foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows and a host of other market challenges.

India's economy shows 'cautious resilience' despite global headwinds like Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. While manufacturing and services remain strong, and forex reserves offer a buffer, inflation concerns are mounting due to wholesale price surges. A weaker monsoon could further challenge growth and rural demand.

Gold price prediction today: Given the geopolitical tensions and a possible change in the US Federal Reserve’s stance, gold prices are likely to see limited upside in the near term, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

Selling was widespread across the market. Every stock in the Sensex basket traded in negative territory. The weakness was equally visible beyond the benchmark indices. The Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 both lost more than 1%, reflecting a broad risk-off mood among investors.

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices seem to be seeing some rebound and the outlook remains constructive, says Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst - Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities recommends a buy on dip strategy.

The Indian rupee strengthened on Thursday, ending a two-week losing streak following aggressive intervention by the Reserve Bank of India. The central bank sold dollars to support the currency, which had hit record lows. Despite this, elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks continue to weigh on the outlook.

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices continue to be weighed down by inflation concerns amid geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices, says Praveen Singh, Head Currencies and Commodities, Mirae Asset ShareKhan.

At a time of global economic turmoil, why are some global markets like the US, Taiwan and South Korea rallying? Why has the Indian stock market slipped from record highs, giving negative returns over the last few quarters?

Gold price prediction today: For both gold and silver prices, the near-term outlook remains weak, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices may gain if oil prices fall, but the rise is likely to be capped, says Praveen Singh, Head Currencies and Commodities, Mirae Asset ShareKhan.

The Indian rupee hit an all-time low against the US dollar, falling to 96.1650 amid escalating Middle East conflict and rising oil prices. This depreciation intensifies concerns over India's macroeconomic outlook, with authorities implementing measures to curb the decline and stabilize the currency.

In fact, ⁠IT has been the worst-performing major sector in the Indian market over the past 12-18 months. In May, 2026, the Nifty IT index touched a near 3-year low, losing more than a fourth of its value since the start of the year.

The government increased fuel prices by Rs 3 per litre to support oil marketing companies facing losses due to high global crude oil prices and a weakening rupee. However, further rupee depreciation could negate these gains, with companies incurring significant daily losses. The price hike offers limited relief, covering only a fraction of projected losses.

The Indian Rupee hit a fresh all-time low against the US dollar, slumping to 95.74 amid soaring crude oil prices and Middle East tensions. While RBI interventions and higher gold import duties offered some support, the currency remains vulnerable. Foreign investors offloaded equities, yet domestic stock markets opened higher.

The CEA’s words could not be more direct and the situation the world’s sixth largest economy faces is by no means small. Several macroeconomic indicators are in focus; inflation, health of the current account, and the exchange rate.

Gold price prediction today: Gold prices are unlikely to rise too much unless crude oil prices come down for a longer term duration, says Praveen Singh, Head Currencies and Commodities, Mirae Asset ShareKhan.

The Indian rupee hit a new low against the US dollar, pressured by rising oil prices and external debt. Analysts link the decline to the US-Iran conflict, which has boosted crude oil costs and strained India's economy. While the RBI and government are intervening, markets anticipate potential interest rate hikes to stabilize the currency and manage inflation.

Gold price prediction today: Gold and silver prices are rallying in the domestic market due to the sudden hike in import duties. In the coming days they are expected to align closer to the international prices, says Vedika Narvekar, Research Analyst - Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.