consumer price index

Indian consumers may soon face higher prices as wholesale inflation surges, driven by global conflicts impacting commodity and energy costs. While retail inflation remains soft for now, a widening gap between wholesale and consumer price indices suggests businesses will likely pass on increased production expenses, leading to costlier everyday goods and services in the coming months.

The government increased fuel prices by Rs 3 per litre to support oil marketing companies facing losses due to high global crude oil prices and a weakening rupee. However, further rupee depreciation could negate these gains, with companies incurring significant daily losses. The price hike offers limited relief, covering only a fraction of projected losses.

Retail inflation edged up to 3.5% in April, driven by a rise in food prices. While fuel inflation slowed, restaurant services saw a significant price jump due to higher LPG costs. Consumer durables like cars and air conditioners, however, became cheaper. Experts note upside risks to the inflation outlook despite the softer-than-expected reading.

India's retail inflation remains largely unaffected by West Asian conflict, with SBI retaining its FY27 forecast at 4.5%. While imported inflation eased slightly, rising food prices, particularly tomatoes, are a key driver. Future trends hinge on energy price pass-through and summer crop progress, with the RBI flagging upside risks.

US inflation surged in April, reaching a three-year high driven by escalating fuel costs linked to the Iran-US conflict. This rise complicates the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, as petrol prices have significantly increased, impacting household budgets and raising concerns about broader economic fallout.

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Fuel prices saw a Rs 3 per litre increase on Friday. This move follows significant losses for state-run oil companies due to soaring global crude oil prices. The conflict in West Asia disrupted key shipping routes, pushing up import costs for India. This price adjustment comes after a period of frozen rates, impacting transportation and other sectors.

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The RBI cautioned about potential second-round effects from the West Asia conflict, where supply shocks could morph into demand pressures. Persistent geopolitical tensions and rising energy costs are creating global macroeconomic uncertainty, necessitating continuous assessment of inflation and growth risks.

Retail inflation in India rose to 3.4% in March, driven by higher food and fuel prices. While core inflation remained subdued, economists anticipate further price increases in the coming months due to the West Asian crisis and potential impacts of heatwaves and monsoon forecasts on food prices.

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Food inflation, based on the All India Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI), was 3.87% (provisional) for March 2026 on a year-on-year basis. The rate was slightly higher in rural areas at 3.96%, compared to 3.71% in urban regions.

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Minimum wages for unskilled workers in Noida and Ghaziabad have lagged significantly behind inflation over the past decade, unlike Delhi, Gurgaon, and Faridabad. While Delhi and Haryana towns saw wage hikes nearly doubling, UP's industrial belts experienced a mere 42% increase, failing to keep pace with rising prices. This disparity means real wages have effectively declined in Noida and Ghaziabad.