china tariffs

Indian exporters are closely monitoring US trade investigations and bilateral deal talks, expecting an advantage over rivals. While not overly concerned about a proposed 12.5% tariff on 54 countries, they are apprehensive about the same levy on China. Exporters are confident that ongoing negotiations will lead to mutually beneficial outcomes, especially for sectors like footwear and leather.

The US Trade Representative has proposed a 12.5% tariff on exports from 54 countries, including India and China, citing their failure to prohibit goods made with forced labor. This move comes as US officials are in India discussing a framework agreement. The USTR's report also addresses excess capacity in several countries, potentially leading to further tariffs.

The Union government is engaging with the US concerning a Section 301 investigation into forced labor and industrial capacity. The US Trade Representative has identified India among countries with inadequate measures against goods made with forced labor, proposing potential tariffs. This occurs amidst ongoing bilateral trade deal discussions.

India and the US are making rapid progress towards resolving the remaining issues in their proposed interim trade arrangement, with both countries expected to implement the first phase of the agreement by the middle of next month, Goyal said.

The Section 301 probe launched by the US in March 2026 is a known variable in India’s trade deal talks with America. Yet, the proposal to impose duties on around 60 countries assumes significance at a time when a delegation from the US is in India to finalise terms of the India-US trade deal.

US President Donald Trump expressed optimism about reaching a trade agreement with India soon, stating that the previous trade imbalance has now reversed. Both nations have been engaged in constructive negotiations, aiming to finalize an interim trade pact while broader discussions continue. Despite ongoing talks, concerns remain regarding potential US tariffs on imports from several economies, including India.

Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warns US AI firms risk falling behind China due to their profit-driven approach. He contrasts this with China's view of AI as a public utility, aiming for widespread worker access to boost productivity. This mirrors China's successful strategy in the EV sector, prioritizing enablement over immediate profit.

The USTR released the outcome of 60 investigations conducted under Section 301, identifying India among 54 economies that, according to its assessment, do not have adequate measures in place to prohibit or effectively prevent the import of goods allegedly produced using forced labour.

The US Trade Representative has proposed additional tariffs on goods from 54 economies, including India, over concerns about forced labor in supply chains. This move, stemming from a Section 301 investigation, could impact India's exports, particularly those relying on Chinese inputs, despite existing domestic prohibitions on forced labor.

China signals willingness to accept existing US tariff levels while seeking to extend the current trade truce. Beijing hopes Washington will honor previous understandings, aiming to stabilize economic ties. Discussions are expected to focus on extending the one-year agreement and reducing unilateral tariffs.

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